HS2 to boost UK by '£15bn a year'

Written By Unknown on Rabu, 11 September 2013 | 15.37

11 September 2013 Last updated at 03:55 ET

A new report says the HS2 rail project could boost the UK economy by £15bn a year.

Transport Secretary Patrick McLoughlin will present the findings later on Wednesday as he outlines the case for the new rail line.

The report, from accountants KPMG, says that regions outside London will be the biggest beneficiaries of the new service.

Earlier this week, the Public Accounts Committee (PAC) criticised the scheme.

In its review of the project the PAC said: "So far, the Department [of Transport] has made decisions based on fragile numbers, out-of-date data and assumptions which do not reflect real life."

The committee also said there was no evidence the line would help the growth of regional cities and would instead draw even more business to London.

But report author Richard Threlfall, KPMG's head of infrastructure, said: "What I hope this work will do is put some new evidence into the debate, because what we've seen over the last few months is an awful lot of opinions and to be honest not a lot of evidence on the ground as to what effect this will have.

"And what our report shows, beyond any reasonable doubt, is that HS2 will deliver massive benefits to the UK economy."

'Waste of money'

John Longworth, director general of the British Chambers of Commerce, told the BBC: "Businesses up and down the country are absolutely convinced that this is a really important infrastructure project. It is one of the key infrastructure projects for the UK."

He argued that simply renovating existing rail lines that were "creaking at the seams" would cause "chaos".

In response, Mark Littlewood, director general of the Institute of Economic Affairs, said: "Any private investor would consider this to be a colossal waste of money.

"That is not to say that we don't need to improve capacity. Rail is an extraordinarily expensive way of doing that."

The government was asking UK taxpayers to take "a huge gamble on their extremely dodgy numbers", he added.

Continue reading the main story

This report tots up the benefits in a new way.

It analyses how better transport links have apparently fuelled business and productivity across various different cities, then applies that to HS2.

Saving time still plays a part, but it's a smaller part.

Instead, there's more importance placed on all those extra seats this scheme provides, not just on the new high speed trains, but on the rest of the rail network too (all those extra commuter services we're being promised).

Critics say the government is just moving the goalposts in a desperate bid to make its project look better.

Boosts

The latest study was commissioned by HS2 Ltd, the company responsible for developing and promoting the project.

It says Birmingham's economy could be boosted between 2.1% and 4.2% a year, while Manchester would benefit between 0.8% and 1.7%.

For Leeds, the boost would be 1.6% and London 0.5%.

In a speech later, Transport Secretary Patrick McLoughlin will say: "'High Speed Two will make Liverpool stronger. Manchester stronger. Leeds stronger. Britain stronger.

"A £15bn annual boost to the economy. With the North and Midlands gaining at least double the benefit of the south."

More seats

Wednesday's report calculates the benefits of the project in a different way from previous efforts.

Time saved is a less important part of the calculation. Instead, the report includes the benefits of extra seats, which means passengers will be able to work while travelling.

It also takes into account the reduction in congestion elsewhere on the network.

In his speech, Mr McLoughlin will say that "speed is not the main reason for building the railway".

"The point about High Speed Two is that you won't have to travel on it to gain from the better transport system and economic growth it will support."

The high-speed line would run between London and Birmingham from 2026 before being extended to Manchester and Leeds from 2033.


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